Belarus 1-1 Lüksemburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Uluslar League, 15 Oct 2024

📅15/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
37%
2.83
Away
29%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
65%
1.44
Over
35%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.19
No
56%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1
38%
1.99
2-3
39%
1.85
4-5
15%
6.68
6+
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.28
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
10%
14.7
X/1
14%
5.26
X/2
12%
5.27
X/X
23%
3.21
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
10%
4.29
2/X
4%
14.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 65%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No Draw — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
-0.1pp
37%
Draw
32%
+4.5pp
29%
Away Win
34%
-4.4pp
65%
Under 2.5
66%
-1.2pp
35%
Over 2.5
34%
+1.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.1pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Belarus EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Lüksemburg EU Bookmakers 37%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.05/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.36
-65% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / +57%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
326 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 80%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.9
25.1 Crosses 18.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Belarus
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Lüksemburg
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.03 xG 0.70
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
386 Passes 307
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
22 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.09.2024 Lüksemburg Lüksemburg 0-1 HT 0-0 Belarus Belarus AVUL
15.11.2018 Lüksemburg Lüksemburg 0-2 HT 0-1 Belarus Belarus AVUL
12.10.2018 Belarus Belarus 1-0 HT 1-0 Lüksemburg Lüksemburg AVUL
31.08.2017 Lüksemburg Lüksemburg 1-0 HT 0-0 Belarus Belarus DKE
10.10.2016 Belarus Belarus 1-1 HT 0-0 Lüksemburg Lüksemburg DKE
08.09.2015 Belarus Belarus 2-0 HT 1-0 Lüksemburg Lüksemburg AVŞE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Belarus
1-1
AWAY Lüksemburg
35% Ball Possession 65%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
180 Passes 415
67% Pass Accuracy 81%
POST-MATCH Belarus vs Lüksemburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Belarus and Lüksemburg couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 37% / 29% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (65%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Belarus had 35% of the ball to Lüksemburg's 65%, shots finished 12-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Belarus had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Belarus and 0.33 for Lüksemburg.

What was the final score of Belarus vs Lüksemburg?

Belarus 1-1 Lüksemburg in the UEFA Uluslar League on 15/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Belarus vs Lüksemburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Belarus 34%, draw 37%, Lüksemburg 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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