Kuzey İrlanda vs Bulgaristan Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Kuzey İrlanda v Bulgaristan — Team-Based Signals
Kuzey İrlanda vs Bulgaristan Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-1
Kuzey İrlanda
DKE
0-0
HT 0-0
Bulgaristan
DKE
0-1
HT 0-1
Bulgaristan
HAZ
Kuzey İrlanda 5-0 Bulgaristan — Actual Match Statistics
Kuzey İrlanda cruised past Bulgaristan 5-0. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Kuzey İrlanda as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (60%) missed.
On the day, Kuzey İrlanda had 42% of the ball to Bulgaristan's 58%, shots finished 12-5, expected goals 1.49 to 1.22.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Bulgaristan led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Kuzey İrlanda and 1.00 for Bulgaristan.
What was the final score of Kuzey İrlanda vs Bulgaristan?
Kuzey İrlanda 5-0 Bulgaristan in the UEFA Uluslar League on 15/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Kuzey İrlanda vs Bulgaristan?
Before kick-off our model rated a Kuzey İrlanda win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Kuzey İrlanda 46%, draw 27%, Bulgaristan 26%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kuzey İrlanda), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.