İngiltere U21 7-0 Azerbaycan U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U21, 15 Oct 2024

📅15/10/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.11
Draw
14%
8.78
Away
17%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under
26%
Over Pick
74%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
No
38%
Total Goals
0-1
11%
25.5
2-3
34%
4.18
4-5
32%
2.44
6+
23%
1.91
Value flag · 2-3 at 4.18 — our 34% vs market 18.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
3%
X/X
6%
2/1
24%
2/2
8%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 74%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
85%
-16.1pp
14%
Draw
8%
+5.8pp
17%
Away Win
6%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İngiltere U21 EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Azerbaycan U21 EU Bookmakers 9%
+1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -7%
3.15/0.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.26/1.68
+42% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -53% / +0%
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
378 · 88% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 184 · 78%
43.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.0
18.8 Crosses 3.0
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İngiltere U21
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Azerbaycan U21
4.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
2.17 xG 0.67
71% Ball Possession 29%
15 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
591 Passes 204
91% Pass Accuracy 77%
49 Box Touches 10
14 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
22.03.2024 Azerbaycan U21 Azerbaycan U21 1-5 HT 0-2 İngiltere U21 İngiltere U21 U21
06.09.2012 Azerbaycan U21 Azerbaycan U21 0-2 HT 0-1 İngiltere U21 İngiltere U21 U21
01.09.2011 İngiltere U21 İngiltere U21 6-0 HT 3-0 Azerbaycan U21 Azerbaycan U21 U21
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İngiltere U21
7-0
AWAY Azerbaycan U21
4.91 xG 0.08
71% Ball Possession 29%
28 Total Shots 3
13 Shots on Target 1
11 Corners 1
539 Passes 167
92% Pass Accuracy 69%
66 Box Touches 4
33 Crosses 2
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH İngiltere U21 vs Azerbaycan U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İngiltere U21 cruised past Azerbaycan U21 7-0. Half-time: 2-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had İngiltere U21 as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 7-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (74%) landed while both teams to score (62%) missed.

On the day, İngiltere U21 had 71% of the ball to Azerbaycan U21's 29%, shots finished 28-3, expected goals 4.91 to 0.08.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, İngiltere U21 had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 4.33 goals for İngiltere U21 and 0.33 for Azerbaycan U21.

What was the final score of İngiltere U21 vs Azerbaycan U21?

İngiltere U21 7-0 Azerbaycan U21 in the European U21 on 15/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İngiltere U21 vs Azerbaycan U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a İngiltere U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split İngiltere U21 69%, draw 14%, Azerbaycan U21 17%. The final score 7-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İngiltere U21), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (İngiltere U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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