Danimarka U21 2-0 İzlanda U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U21, 15 Oct 2024

📅15/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
58%
1.37
Draw
23%
4.62
Away
19%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
2.29
Over
54%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
24%
4.67
2-3
39%
1.91
4-5
25%
2.85
6+
12%
7.97
Value flag · 0-1 at 4.67 — our 24% vs market 16.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Danimarka U21 win — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
69%
-11.1pp
23%
Draw
19%
+4.2pp
20%
Away Win
13%
+6.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
40%
+5.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
60%
-5.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.7pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Danimarka U21 EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY İzlanda U21 EU Bookmakers 16%
+1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +9%
2.21/1.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.46/3.04
-5% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +19%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
366 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 70%
30.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 7.0
9.0 Crosses 8.0
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Danimarka U21
1W-2D-2L
AWAY İzlanda U21
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
0.58 xG 1.40
63% Ball Possession 37%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
596 Passes 133
88% Pass Accuracy 60%
19 Box Touches 11
16 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.09.2024 İzlanda U21 İzlanda U21 4-2 HT 2-1 Danimarka U21 Danimarka U21 U21
28.03.2021 İzlanda U21 İzlanda U21 0-2 HT 0-2 Danimarka U21 Danimarka U21 U21
14.10.2014 İzlanda U21 İzlanda U21 1-1 HT 0-0 Danimarka U21 Danimarka U21 U21
10.10.2014 Danimarka U21 Danimarka U21 0-0 HT 0-0 İzlanda U21 İzlanda U21 U21
18.06.2011 İzlanda U21 İzlanda U21 3-1 HT 0-0 Danimarka U21 Danimarka U21 U21
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Danimarka U21
2-0
AWAY İzlanda U21
63% Ball Possession 37%
11 Total Shots 3
7 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Danimarka U21 vs İzlanda U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Danimarka U21 got the better of İzlanda U21 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Danimarka U21 as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Danimarka U21 had 63% of the ball to İzlanda U21's 37%, shots finished 11-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, İzlanda U21 led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Danimarka U21 and 1.60 for İzlanda U21.

What was the final score of Danimarka U21 vs İzlanda U21?

Danimarka U21 2-0 İzlanda U21 in the European U21 on 15/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Danimarka U21 vs İzlanda U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Danimarka U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Danimarka U21 58%, draw 23%, İzlanda U21 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Danimarka U21), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Danimarka U21) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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