Finlandiya U21 2-1 Karadağ U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U21, 15 Oct 2024

📅15/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
58%
1.29
Draw
24%
4.95
Away
18%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
2.38
Over
50%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.96
No
58%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1
26%
4.87
2-3
39%
1.94
4-5
24%
2.8
6+
11%
7.52
Value flag · 0-1 at 4.87 — our 26% vs market 15.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Finlandiya U21 win — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
73%
-15.1pp
24%
Draw
17%
+7.1pp
18%
Away Win
10%
+7.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
38%
+11.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
62%
-11.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.0pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Finlandiya U21 EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Karadağ U21 EU Bookmakers 14%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.73/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.27/1.08
+26% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +26%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
453 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 216 · 71%
42.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 6.0
38.0 Crosses 11.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Finlandiya U21
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Karadağ U21
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 1
26.03.2024 Karadağ U21 Karadağ U21 1-2 HT 0-1 Finlandiya U21 Finlandiya U21 U21
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Finlandiya U21
2-1
AWAY Karadağ U21
65% Ball Possession 35%
14 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Finlandiya U21 vs Karadağ U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Finlandiya U21 nicked a narrow win over Karadağ U21 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Finlandiya U21 as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Finlandiya U21 had 65% of the ball to Karadağ U21's 35%, shots finished 14-5.

What was the final score of Finlandiya U21 vs Karadağ U21?

Finlandiya U21 2-1 Karadağ U21 in the European U21 on 15/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Finlandiya U21 vs Karadağ U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Finlandiya U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Finlandiya U21 58%, draw 24%, Karadağ U21 18%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Finlandiya U21) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Finlandiya U21) ✗ BTTS No
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