Kazakistan U21 3-2 İskoçya U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U21, 15 Oct 2024

📅15/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.75
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
49%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
2.0
Over
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1
25%
3.71
2-3
42%
1.82
4-5
23%
3.27
6+
10%
11.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
18%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
25%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
23%
+0.8pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.1pp
49%
Away Win
53%
-3.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
+0.6pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kazakistan U21 EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY İskoçya U21 EU Bookmakers 57%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
0.62/2.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.17
-45% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / -36%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
297 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 79%
7.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
11.0 Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kazakistan U21
0W-1D-2L
AWAY İskoçya U21
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
30% Ball Possession 70%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 0
21.03.2024 İskoçya U21 İskoçya U21 4-1 HT 3-0 Kazakistan U21 Kazakistan U21 U21
29.03.2022 Kazakistan U21 Kazakistan U21 2-2 HT 0-1 İskoçya U21 İskoçya U21 U21
12.11.2021 İskoçya U21 İskoçya U21 2-1 HT 1-0 Kazakistan U21 Kazakistan U21 U21
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kazakistan U21
3-2
AWAY İskoçya U21
24% Ball Possession 76%
8 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 8
0 Corners 8
POST-MATCH Kazakistan U21 vs İskoçya U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kazakistan U21 edged past İskoçya U21 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was İskoçya U21 at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Kazakistan U21 had 24% of the ball to İskoçya U21's 76%, shots finished 8-14.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, İskoçya U21 led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Kazakistan U21 and 2.67 for İskoçya U21.

What was the final score of Kazakistan U21 vs İskoçya U21?

Kazakistan U21 3-2 İskoçya U21 in the European U21 on 15/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kazakistan U21 vs İskoçya U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an İskoçya U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Kazakistan U21 24%, draw 27%, İskoçya U21 49%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (İskoçya U21) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (İskoçya U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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