Rimini 0-2 Ascoli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 15 Nov 2025

📅15/11/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
4.65
Draw
20%
3.64
Away
61%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.67
Over 2.5
49%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
2.13
No
46%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.56
2-3 Goals
36%
1.74
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
4.24
6+ Goals
12%
21.7
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 4.24 — our 25% vs market 17.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
25%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
28%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
18%
+0.6pp
20%
Draw
24%
-3.9pp
61%
Away Win
58%
+3.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-5.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
43%
+11.1pp
46%
BTTS No
57%
-11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rimini EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Ascoli EU Bookmakers 62%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.16/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.03/2.00
+21% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -62%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
320 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 409 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rimini
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Ascoli
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.02.2025 Rimini Rimini 2-0 HT 0-0 Ascoli Ascoli İTC
29.09.2024 Ascoli Ascoli 0-1 HT 0-0 Rimini Rimini İTC
30.03.2009 Rimini Rimini 0-1 HT 0-1 Ascoli Ascoli İTB
03.11.2008 Ascoli Ascoli 1-1 HT 0-1 Rimini Rimini İTB
09.02.2008 Rimini Rimini 3-0 HT 1-0 Ascoli Ascoli İTB
09.09.2007 Ascoli Ascoli 0-0 HT 0-0 Rimini Rimini İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rimini
0-2
AWAY Ascoli
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Rimini vs Ascoli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ascoli saw off Rimini 2-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ascoli as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Rimini had 56% of the ball to Ascoli's 44%, shots finished 12-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rimini had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Rimini and 0.33 for Ascoli.

What was the final score of Rimini vs Ascoli?

Rimini 0-2 Ascoli in the Italy - Serie C on 15/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rimini vs Ascoli?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ascoli win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Rimini 19%, draw 20%, Ascoli 61%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ascoli), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ascoli) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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