Orihuela 1-1 Antoniano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 15 Dec 2024

📅15/12/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.8
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
21%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
57%
1.52
Over
43%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.29
No
55%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2-3
42%
4-5
20%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
52%
+3.3pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.1pp
21%
Away Win
21%
-0.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
40%
+5.8pp
55%
BTTS No
60%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orihuela EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Antoniano EU Bookmakers 24%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.86/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.38
+32% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -4%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
286 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 66%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orihuela
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Antoniano
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 4
25.02.2024 Orihuela Orihuela 2-0 HT 1-0 Antoniano Antoniano İS4
15.10.2023 Antoniano Antoniano 2-1 HT 1-0 Orihuela Orihuela İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orihuela
1-1
AWAY Antoniano
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Orihuela vs Antoniano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orihuela and Antoniano couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

This one beat our numbers. Orihuela carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Orihuela had 58% of the ball to Antoniano's 42%, shots finished 12-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Orihuela and 1.00 for Antoniano.

What was the final score of Orihuela vs Antoniano?

Orihuela 1-1 Antoniano in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orihuela vs Antoniano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Orihuela win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Orihuela 55%, draw 24%, Antoniano 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Orihuela), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Orihuela) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS4 More Spain - 2nd Division RFEF
15 Dec 2024
13:30 Melilla vs Colonia Moscardo Analysis →
14:00 Escobedo vs Bergantinos Analysis →
14:00 Numancia vs Real Valladolid II Analysis →
14:00 Deportivo Alaves II vs Alfaro Analysis →
14:00 Andratx vs Ibiza Islas Pitiusas Analysis →
14:00 Pena Deportiva vs UD Alzira Analysis →