Arezzo 4-2 Pianese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 15 Dec 2024

Arezzo
4-2 HT 2-1
Pianese
📅15/12/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Italy - Serie C – 2024/2025

Arezzo vs Pianese Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.75
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.6
2-3 Goals
42%
1.71
4-5 Goals
18%
4.03
6+ Goals
8%
19.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.6 — our 32% vs market 30.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
53%
-8.7pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.3pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+4.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.7pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Arezzo v Pianese — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arezzo EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Pianese EU Bookmakers 24%
+5% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +12%
1.27/0.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/0.67
-20% / +138% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +102%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
308 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0

Arezzo vs Pianese Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arezzo
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Pianese
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
62% Ball Possession 38%
12 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 0
The Meetings
12.01.2020 Arezzo Arezzo 0-0 HT 0-0 Pianese Pianese İTC
31.08.2019 Pianese Pianese 1-0 HT 1-0 Arezzo Arezzo İTC
POST-MATCH Arezzo vs Pianese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arezzo beat Pianese 4-2. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Arezzo as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Pianese led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Arezzo and 0.50 for Pianese.

What was the final score of Arezzo vs Pianese?

Arezzo 4-2 Pianese in the Italy - Serie C on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arezzo vs Pianese?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arezzo win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Arezzo 44%, draw 30%, Pianese 25%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arezzo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arezzo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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