FeralpiSalo 1-1 Arzignano Valchiampo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 15 Dec 2024

📅15/12/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
22%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
1.56
Over
44%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.27
No
52%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2.28
2-3
41%
1.72
4-5
19%
4.72
6+
8%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
57%
-5.5pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.9pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+4.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
60%
-4.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
40%
+4.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
40%
+7.8pp
52%
BTTS No
60%
-7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FeralpiSalo EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Arzignano Valchiampo EU Bookmakers 21%
+6% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -2%
1.50/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/2.02
-6% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -26%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
376 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FeralpiSalo
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Arzignano Valchiampo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
11.02.2023 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo 1-0 HT 1-0 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo İTC
16.10.2022 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo 2-1 HT 0-1 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FeralpiSalo
1-1
AWAY Arzignano Valchiampo
70% Ball Possession 30%
18 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
13 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FeralpiSalo vs Arzignano Valchiampo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FeralpiSalo and Arzignano Valchiampo shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was FeralpiSalo at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, FeralpiSalo had 70% of the ball to Arzignano Valchiampo's 30%, shots finished 18-6.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FeralpiSalo and 1.00 for Arzignano Valchiampo.

What was the final score of FeralpiSalo vs Arzignano Valchiampo?

FeralpiSalo 1-1 Arzignano Valchiampo in the Italy - Serie C on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FeralpiSalo vs Arzignano Valchiampo?

Before kick-off our model rated a FeralpiSalo win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split FeralpiSalo 51%, draw 26%, Arzignano Valchiampo 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (FeralpiSalo), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FeralpiSalo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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