PSG 3-0 Lille — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 16 Jan 2026

PSG
3 - 0 HT 1 - 0
Lille
📅16/01/2026 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2025/2026

PSG vs Lille Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
79%
1.3
Draw
12%
5.15
Away
9%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under
30%
2.61
Over
70%
1.46
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
13%
5.79
2-3
42%
2.06
4-5
33%
2.56
6+
12%
5.66
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
53%
1.47
1/2
1%
35.0
1/X
3%
21.0
X/1 ✗
22%
3.98
X/2
4%
19.75
X/X
7%
9.03
2/1
3%
20.3
2/2
4%
15.9
2/X
3%
24.45
Value flag · X/1 at 3.98 — our 22% vs market 20.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

PSG v Lille — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME PSG The Market 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Lille The Market 14%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Strong
2.69 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.92
0.76 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 2.43
Strong Attack Strength Great
Average Defense Strength Weak
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
536 · 88% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 81%
36 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15
16 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3

PSG vs Lille Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSG
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Lille
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.33 xG 1.34
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
498 Passes 365
89% Pass Accuracy 85%
32 Box Touches 23
12 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.10.2025 Lille Lille 1-1 HT 0-0 PSG PSG FR1
01.03.2025 PSG PSG 4-1 HT 4-0 Lille Lille FR1
01.09.2024 Lille Lille 1-3 HT 0-2 PSG PSG FR1
10.02.2024 PSG PSG 3-1 HT 2-1 Lille Lille FR1
17.12.2023 Lille Lille 1-1 HT 0-0 PSG PSG FR1
19.02.2023 PSG PSG 4-3 HT 2-1 Lille Lille FR1

PSG 3-0 Lille — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PSG
3 - 0
AWAY Lille
1.40 xG 1.20
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
645 Passes 369
92% Pass Accuracy 85%
28 Box Touches 23
13 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW PSG vs Lille
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

PSG cruised past Lille 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

True to our pre-match read, our model had PSG as the likeliest winner at 79%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (70%) came in.

The match data tells the story: possession split 61% to 39% in PSG's favour, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 1.40 to 1.20.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, PSG had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.67 a game for PSG against 1.33 for Lille.

PSG vs Lille Result & Final Score

PSG 3 - 0 Lille in the France - Ligue 1 on 16/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

PSG vs Lille Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a PSG win the most likely single outcome at about 79%, with the full match-result split PSG 79%, draw 12%, Lille 9%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSG), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (PSG) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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