VVV-Venlo 1-3 AZ Alkmaar II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 16 Jan 2026

VVV-Venlo
1 - 3 HT 0 - 1
AZ Alkmaar II
📅16/01/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2025/2026

VVV-Venlo vs AZ Alkmaar II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.02
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
29%
3.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under
38%
2.17
Over Pick
62%
1.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.5
No
39%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1
18%
4.42
2-3
42%
1.88
4-5
29%
2.77
6+
11%
7.69
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.77
1/2
2%
30.5
1/X
6%
12.0
X/1
14%
5.28
X/2
10%
7.67
X/X
14%
5.39
2/1
3%
22.25
2/2
17%
4.98
2/X
5%
12.65
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.

VVV-Venlo v AZ Alkmaar II — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME VVV-Venlo The Market 50%
Signal
AWAY AZ Alkmaar II The Market 32%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.46 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.49
1.29 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 2.12
Bad Attack Strength Average
Strong Defense Strength Average
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
307 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 77%
23 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23
23 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2

VVV-Venlo vs AZ Alkmaar II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME VVV-Venlo
2W-1D-3L
AWAY AZ Alkmaar II
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.65 xG 1.62
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
308 Passes 386
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
24 Box Touches 24
23 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
07.11.2025 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II 0-2 HT 0-1 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
03.02.2025 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II 3-0 HT 1-0 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
08.11.2024 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 0-1 HT 0-0 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II HOL2
10.07.2024 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 2-1 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II HAZ
22.04.2024 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II 2-1 HT 0-1 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
03.11.2023 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 2-2 HT 0-1 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II HOL2

VVV-Venlo 1-3 AZ Alkmaar II — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME VVV-Venlo
1 - 3
AWAY AZ Alkmaar II
3.16 xG 1.54
50% Ball Possession 50%
20 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 3
333 Passes 350
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
47 Box Touches 23
21 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 0
REVIEW VVV-Venlo vs AZ Alkmaar II
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

AZ Alkmaar II had too much for VVV-Venlo 3-1 on the road. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was VVV-Venlo at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

By the numbers, VVV-Venlo had 50% of the ball to AZ Alkmaar II's 50%, shots finished 20-12, expected goals 3.16 to 1.54 — on chances, VVV-Venlo could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, AZ Alkmaar II led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for VVV-Venlo and 1.50 for AZ Alkmaar II.

VVV-Venlo vs AZ Alkmaar II Result & Final Score

VVV-Venlo 1 - 3 AZ Alkmaar II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 16/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

VVV-Venlo vs AZ Alkmaar II Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a VVV-Venlo win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split VVV-Venlo 46%, draw 25%, AZ Alkmaar II 29%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (VVV-Venlo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (VVV-Venlo) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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