Leicester City WFC (K) 3-0 Aston Villa (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's Premier League, 16 Feb 2025

📅16/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
3.75
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
50%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.86
Over 2.5
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
25%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
23%
-2.6pp
30%
Draw
25%
+4.4pp
50%
Away Win
52%
-1.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+5.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-5.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.3pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leicester City WFC (K) EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Aston Villa (K) EU Bookmakers 56%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +42% / +42%
0.99/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/1.14
-31% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / +22%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
285 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 79%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
11.7 Crosses 9.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leicester City WFC (K)
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Aston Villa (K)
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.20 xG 1.55
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
323 Passes 373
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 22
13 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 3
13.10.2024 Aston Villa (K) Aston Villa (K) 0-0 Leicester City WFC (K) Leicester City WFC (K) İNKPL
30.03.2024 Aston Villa (K) Aston Villa (K) 2-2 HT 1-1 Leicester City WFC (K) Leicester City WFC (K) İNKPL
19.01.2024 Leicester City WFC (K) Leicester City WFC (K) 0-1 HT 0-1 Aston Villa (K) Aston Villa (K) İNKPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leicester City WFC (K)
3-0
AWAY Aston Villa (K)
2.06 xG 1.04
30% Ball Possession 70%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 10
164 Passes 508
65% Pass Accuracy 86%
27 Box Touches 26
8 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Leicester City WFC (K) vs Aston Villa (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leicester City WFC (K) swept aside Aston Villa (K) 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Aston Villa (K) at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Leicester City WFC (K) had 30% of the ball to Aston Villa (K)'s 70%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 2.06 to 1.04.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Aston Villa (K) led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Leicester City WFC (K) and 1.00 for Aston Villa (K).

What was the final score of Leicester City WFC (K) vs Aston Villa (K)?

Leicester City WFC (K) 3-0 Aston Villa (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leicester City WFC (K) vs Aston Villa (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aston Villa (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Leicester City WFC (K) 20%, draw 30%, Aston Villa (K) 50%. The final score 3-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Aston Villa (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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