Gimnastica Segoviana 2-4 Osasuna II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 16 Feb 2025

📅16/02/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
1.78
Over
44%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2.87
2-3
42%
1.72
4-5
20%
3.64
6+
10%
15.8
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.87 — our 28% vs market 27.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
21%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-1.0pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.1pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+0.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.4pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimnastica Segoviana EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Osasuna II EU Bookmakers 32%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -10%
0.97/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.42
-30% / +91% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -20%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
344 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 203 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimnastica Segoviana
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Osasuna II
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 5
12.10.2024 Osasuna II Osasuna II 3-2 HT 2-1 Gimnastica Segoviana Gimnastica Segoviana İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimnastica Segoviana
2-4
AWAY Osasuna II
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Gimnastica Segoviana vs Osasuna II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Osasuna II got the better of Gimnastica Segoviana 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Gimnastica Segoviana at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gimnastica Segoviana had 58% of the ball to Osasuna II's 42%, shots finished 13-12.

What was the final score of Gimnastica Segoviana vs Osasuna II?

Gimnastica Segoviana 2-4 Osasuna II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimnastica Segoviana vs Osasuna II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimnastica Segoviana win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Gimnastica Segoviana 43%, draw 27%, Osasuna II 30%. The final score 2-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Gimnastica Segoviana) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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