Hercules 1-0 Fuenlabrada — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 16 Feb 2025

📅16/02/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
1.52
Over
46%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.13
No
52%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2.19
2-3
39%
1.73
4-5
21%
4.94
6+
9%
30.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-3.1pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.1pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
62%
-8.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
38%
+8.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
43%
+5.2pp
52%
BTTS No
57%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hercules EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Fuenlabrada EU Bookmakers 27%
-3% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +2%
1.14/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.22
-24% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +4%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
337 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 216 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hercules
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Fuenlabrada
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
10.11.2024 Fuenlabrada Fuenlabrada 2-1 HT 0-0 Hercules Hercules İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hercules
1-0
AWAY Fuenlabrada
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hercules vs Fuenlabrada
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hercules nicked a narrow win over Fuenlabrada 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Hercules as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Hercules had 57% of the ball to Fuenlabrada's 43%, shots finished 14-5.

What was the final score of Hercules vs Fuenlabrada?

Hercules 1-0 Fuenlabrada in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hercules vs Fuenlabrada?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hercules win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Hercules 45%, draw 27%, Fuenlabrada 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hercules), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hercules) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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