Atletico Sanluqueno 1-0 Atletico Madrid II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 16 Feb 2025

📅16/02/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
39%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
1.51
Over
42%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.06
No
53%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2.14
2-3
39%
1.74
4-5
19%
5.14
6+
9%
33.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
19%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-1.3pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.3pp
39%
Away Win
36%
+3.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.0pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Sanluqueno EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Madrid II EU Bookmakers 39%
-7% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +10%
0.83/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/0.93
-29% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
274 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Sanluqueno
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Atletico Madrid II
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.08.2024 Atletico Madrid II Atletico Madrid II 0-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Sanluqueno Atletico Sanluqueno İS3
07.04.2024 Atletico Sanluqueno Atletico Sanluqueno 0-3 HT 0-1 Atletico Madrid II Atletico Madrid II İS3
17.12.2023 Atletico Madrid II Atletico Madrid II 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Sanluqueno Atletico Sanluqueno İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Sanluqueno
1-0
AWAY Atletico Madrid II
44% Ball Possession 56%
4 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Atletico Sanluqueno vs Atletico Madrid II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Sanluqueno squeezed past Atletico Madrid II 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 28% / 39% — and on the day Atletico Sanluqueno made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Atletico Sanluqueno had 44% of the ball to Atletico Madrid II's 56%, shots finished 4-16.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Atletico Sanluqueno and 1.00 for Atletico Madrid II.

What was the final score of Atletico Sanluqueno vs Atletico Madrid II?

Atletico Sanluqueno 1-0 Atletico Madrid II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Sanluqueno vs Atletico Madrid II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Madrid II win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Atletico Sanluqueno 33%, draw 28%, Atletico Madrid II 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Atletico Madrid II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Madrid II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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