Celta Vigo II 2-1 Real Union — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 16 Feb 2025

📅16/02/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.76
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
23%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
1.8
Over
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No Pick
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2.98
2-3
39%
1.73
4-5
21%
3.52
6+
10%
14.55
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.98 — our 30% vs market 26.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
53%
-1.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.6pp
23%
Away Win
22%
+1.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.4pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Celta Vigo II EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Union EU Bookmakers 25%
+1% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -24%
2.27/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.73
+43% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -20%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
429 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 210 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 9.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Celta Vigo II
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Real Union
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.09.2024 Real Union Real Union 3-2 HT 0-0 Celta Vigo II Celta Vigo II İS3
18.02.2024 Real Union Real Union 1-1 HT 0-0 Celta Vigo II Celta Vigo II İS3
14.10.2023 Celta Vigo II Celta Vigo II 3-0 HT 0-0 Real Union Real Union İS3
26.01.2022 Celta Vigo II Celta Vigo II 1-2 HT 0-2 Real Union Real Union İS3
10.09.2021 Real Union Real Union 1-4 HT 1-2 Celta Vigo II Celta Vigo II İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Celta Vigo II
2-1
AWAY Real Union
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Celta Vigo II vs Real Union
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celta Vigo II squeezed past Real Union 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Celta Vigo II as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Celta Vigo II had 62% of the ball to Real Union's 38%, shots finished 15-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Celta Vigo II and 1.40 for Real Union.

What was the final score of Celta Vigo II vs Real Union?

Celta Vigo II 2-1 Real Union in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Celta Vigo II vs Real Union?

Before kick-off our model rated a Celta Vigo II win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Celta Vigo II 52%, draw 25%, Real Union 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celta Vigo II) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Celta Vigo II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS3 More Spain - 2nd Division B
16 Feb 2025
14:00 Amorebieta vs Ponferradina Analysis →
14:00 Hercules vs Fuenlabrada Analysis →
14:00 Atletico Sanluqueno vs Atletico Madrid II Analysis →
14:00 Antequera vs Real Madrid II Analysis →
18:00 Lugo vs Sestao River Analysis →
19:30 Gimnastica Segoviana vs Osasuna II Analysis →