CD Victoria 2-1 CD Olimpia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 16 Feb 2026

📅16/02/2026 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
5.09
Draw
25%
3.8
Away Pick
57%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
1.9
Over
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.95
No
49%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
48%
4-5
18%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
19%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
21%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
CD Olimpia win — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
18%
Home Win
17%
+1.5pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.4pp
57%
Away Win
60%
-2.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.9pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Victoria The Market 20%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Olimpia The Market 64%
+6% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +11%
0.85/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.05/1.01
-23% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -19%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
210 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Victoria
0W-2D-4L
AWAY CD Olimpia
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
07.12.2025 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 3-0 HT 0-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
22.09.2025 CD Victoria CD Victoria 2-3 HT 1-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
18.05.2025 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 2-1 HT 1-1 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
15.05.2025 CD Victoria CD Victoria 0-2 HT 0-2 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
12.04.2025 CD Victoria CD Victoria 1-1 HT 0-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
13.02.2025 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 1-1 HT 0-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
POST-MATCH CD Victoria vs CD Olimpia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Victoria squeezed past CD Olimpia 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

This one beat our numbers. CD Olimpia carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Olimpia led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for CD Victoria and 2.00 for CD Olimpia.

What was the final score of CD Victoria vs CD Olimpia?

CD Victoria 2-1 CD Olimpia in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 16/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Victoria vs CD Olimpia?

Before kick-off our model rated an CD Olimpia win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split CD Victoria 18%, draw 25%, CD Olimpia 57%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (CD Olimpia), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CD Olimpia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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