Dagenham & Redbridge 4-1 Maidenhead United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.06
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.82
6+ Goals
11%
16.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.74
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.25
X/1
11%
4.31
X/2
12%
7.06
X/X
11%
4.65
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
13%
5.42
2/X
6%
14.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
48%
-6.2pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+5.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.5pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dagenham & Redbridge EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Maidenhead United EU Bookmakers 30%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -11%
1.76/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.53
+8% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
327 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dagenham & Redbridge
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Maidenhead United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
56% Ball Possession 44%
7 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
19.08.2023 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 1-0 HT 0-0 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge İBSL
28.02.2023 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 2-1 HT 2-1 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge İBSL
14.01.2023 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge 0-2 HT 0-2 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United FAK
05.11.2022 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 0-1 HT 0-0 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge FAK
20.08.2022 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge 1-0 HT 1-0 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İBSL
01.03.2022 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge 3-0 HT 3-0 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dagenham & Redbridge
4-1
AWAY Maidenhead United
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Dagenham & Redbridge vs Maidenhead United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dagenham & Redbridge ran out comfortable winners over Maidenhead United 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Dagenham & Redbridge as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Dagenham & Redbridge had 54% of the ball to Maidenhead United's 46%, shots finished 13-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Dagenham & Redbridge and 0.83 for Maidenhead United.

What was the final score of Dagenham & Redbridge vs Maidenhead United?

Dagenham & Redbridge 4-1 Maidenhead United in the England - National League on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dagenham & Redbridge vs Maidenhead United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dagenham & Redbridge win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Dagenham & Redbridge 42%, draw 26%, Maidenhead United 32%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dagenham & Redbridge) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dagenham & Redbridge) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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