Curzon Ashton 0-3 Spennymoor Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.33
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
34%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 Pick
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.17
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.7
6+ Goals
10%
15.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.17 — our 28% vs market 25.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
12%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
39%
-2.2pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.7pp
34%
Away Win
34%
+0.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.1pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Curzon Ashton EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Spennymoor Town EU Bookmakers 37%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +30%
1.27/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.11
-12% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +19%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
308 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Curzon Ashton
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Spennymoor Town
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
07.11.2023 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town 1-2 HT 1-0 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton İCON
10.04.2023 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton 1-0 HT 1-0 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town İCON
13.09.2022 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton İCON
02.04.2022 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton 0-3 HT 0-1 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town İCON
23.10.2021 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town 2-2 HT 1-0 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton İCON
05.12.2020 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town 3-1 HT 1-0 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Curzon Ashton
0-3
AWAY Spennymoor Town
61% Ball Possession 39%
7 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Curzon Ashton vs Spennymoor Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spennymoor Town ran out comfortable winners over Curzon Ashton 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (37% / 29% / 34%) promised a tight game; Spennymoor Town found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Curzon Ashton had 61% of the ball to Spennymoor Town's 39%, shots finished 7-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Curzon Ashton and 1.50 for Spennymoor Town.

What was the final score of Curzon Ashton vs Spennymoor Town?

Curzon Ashton 0-3 Spennymoor Town in the England - Conference on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Curzon Ashton vs Spennymoor Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Curzon Ashton win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Curzon Ashton 37%, draw 29%, Spennymoor Town 34%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Curzon Ashton) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İCON More England - Conference
16 Mar 2024
18:00 Brackley Town vs Hereford FC Analysis →
18:00 Boston United vs Farsley AFC Analysis →
18:00 Warrington Town vs Gloucester City Analysis →
18:00 Chippenham Town vs Worthing Analysis →
18:00 Dover Athletic vs Havant & Waterlooville Analysis →
18:00 Dartford vs Maidstone United Analysis →