Hemel Hempstead Town 1-2 Hampton & Richmond — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.46
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
41%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.91
Over 2.5
53%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.51
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
25%
3.4
6+ Goals
9%
12.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
37%
-3.9pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.3pp
40%
Away Win
36%
+4.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.9pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hemel Hempstead Town EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Hampton & Richmond EU Bookmakers 40%
+3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -10%
1.16/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.63
-14% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -20%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
327 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hemel Hempstead Town
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Hampton & Richmond
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.12.2023 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond 2-1 HT 2-0 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
07.01.2023 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 2-0 HT 0-0 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond İCON
13.08.2022 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond 1-1 HT 0-1 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
15.04.2022 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond İCON
04.12.2021 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond 0-1 HT 0-0 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
17.11.2020 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond 0-3 HT 0-1 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hemel Hempstead Town
1-2
AWAY Hampton & Richmond
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hemel Hempstead Town vs Hampton & Richmond
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hampton & Richmond edged past Hemel Hempstead Town 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 26% / 40% — and on the day Hampton & Richmond made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Hemel Hempstead Town had 49% of the ball to Hampton & Richmond's 51%, shots finished 11-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hemel Hempstead Town had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Hemel Hempstead Town and 0.50 for Hampton & Richmond.

What was the final score of Hemel Hempstead Town vs Hampton & Richmond?

Hemel Hempstead Town 1-2 Hampton & Richmond in the England - Conference on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hemel Hempstead Town vs Hampton & Richmond?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hampton & Richmond win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Hemel Hempstead Town 33%, draw 26%, Hampton & Richmond 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hampton & Richmond), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hampton & Richmond) ✓ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İCON More England - Conference
16 Mar 2024
18:00 Brackley Town vs Hereford FC Analysis →
18:00 Boston United vs Farsley AFC Analysis →
18:00 Warrington Town vs Gloucester City Analysis →
18:00 Chippenham Town vs Worthing Analysis →
18:00 Dover Athletic vs Havant & Waterlooville Analysis →
18:00 Dartford vs Maidstone United Analysis →