1860 München 1-2 Preussen Münster — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 16 Mar 2024

1860 München
1-2 HT 0-1
Preussen Münster
📅16/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2023/2024

1860 München vs Preussen Münster Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
32%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.97
Over 2.5
48%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.63
No
52%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.69
2-3 Goals
38%
1.82
4-5 Goals
25%
3.28
6+ Goals
9%
11.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.69 — our 28% vs market 21.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.46
1/2
8%
28.5
1/X
9%
12.85
X/1
17%
5.4
X/2
8%
5.81
X/X
14%
4.87
2/1
7%
26.5
2/2
16%
3.82
2/X
5%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
39%
+1.0pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.6pp
32%
Away Win
34%
-2.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
47%
+4.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
53%
-4.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
57%
-9.0pp
52%
BTTS No
43%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

1860 München v Preussen Münster — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME 1860 München EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Preussen Münster EU Bookmakers 38%
+3% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -9%
1.22/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.31/1.21
+21% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -14%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
342 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 66%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.3
14.8 Crosses 29.1
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.7

1860 München vs Preussen Münster Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME 1860 München
1W-3D-1L
AWAY Preussen Münster
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
1.57 xG 0.19
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
348 Passes 252
79% Pass Accuracy 72%
27 Box Touches 7
16 Crosses 7
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
15.10.2023 Preussen Münster Preussen Münster 1-1 HT 0-0 1860 München 1860 München AL3
21.12.2019 Preussen Münster Preussen Münster 0-1 HT 0-0 1860 München 1860 München AL3
19.07.2019 1860 München 1860 München 1-1 HT 0-1 Preussen Münster Preussen Münster AL3
13.04.2019 1860 München 1860 München 0-1 HT 0-1 Preussen Münster Preussen Münster AL3
03.11.2018 Preussen Münster Preussen Münster 0-0 HT 0-0 1860 München 1860 München AL3

1860 München 1-2 Preussen Münster — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME 1860 München
1-2
AWAY Preussen Münster
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH 1860 München vs Preussen Münster
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Preussen Münster nicked a narrow win over 1860 München 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 32%) promised a tight game; Preussen Münster found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, 1860 München had 51% of the ball to Preussen Münster's 49%, shots finished 8-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for 1860 München and 0.60 for Preussen Münster.

What was the final score of 1860 München vs Preussen Münster?

1860 München 1-2 Preussen Münster in the Germany - 3rd Division on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for 1860 München vs Preussen Münster?

Before kick-off our model rated a 1860 München win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split 1860 München 40%, draw 28%, Preussen Münster 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (1860 München) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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