Dynamo Dresden 0-0 Ulm 1846 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.76
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
3.33
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.55
6+ Goals
10%
14.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.33 — our 26% vs market 24.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.3
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.9
X/1
12%
4.11
X/2
9%
9.13
X/X
15%
4.78
2/1
6%
24.45
2/2
13%
7.07
2/X
7%
14.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
53%
-7.3pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.8pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+5.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.6pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dynamo Dresden EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Ulm 1846 EU Bookmakers 25%
+3% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
1.71/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.53
-4% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
358 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dynamo Dresden
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Ulm 1846
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 4
15.10.2023 Ulm 1846 Ulm 1846 2-3 HT 2-2 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dynamo Dresden
0-0
AWAY Ulm 1846
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dynamo Dresden vs Ulm 1846
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dynamo Dresden and Ulm 1846 fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Dynamo Dresden at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Dynamo Dresden had 58% of the ball to Ulm 1846's 42%, shots finished 12-8.

What was the final score of Dynamo Dresden vs Ulm 1846?

Dynamo Dresden 0-0 Ulm 1846 in the Germany - 3rd Division on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dynamo Dresden vs Ulm 1846?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dynamo Dresden win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Dynamo Dresden 45%, draw 28%, Ulm 1846 27%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Dynamo Dresden) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dynamo Dresden) ✓ Under 2.5
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