Hallescher FC 2-2 Freiburg II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 16 Mar 2024

Hallescher FC
2-2 HT 2-1
Freiburg II
📅16/03/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2023/2024

Hallescher FC vs Freiburg II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.72
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.75
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
3.25
6+ Goals
13%
11.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.75 — our 26% vs market 21.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.19
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.6
X/1
18%
4.02
X/2
12%
9.43
X/X
13%
5.34
2/1
7%
22.3
2/2
8%
7.08
2/X
7%
15.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
54%
-6.7pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.4pp
27%
Away Win
21%
+5.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.1pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hallescher FC v Freiburg II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hallescher FC EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Freiburg II EU Bookmakers 24%
-5% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.90/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.88
+7% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
352 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 79%
25.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
26.4 Crosses –
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.4

Hallescher FC vs Freiburg II Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hallescher FC
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Freiburg II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.11.2023 Freiburg II Freiburg II 1-2 HT 1-1 Hallescher FC Hallescher FC AL3
11.02.2023 Hallescher FC Hallescher FC 1-3 HT 1-1 Freiburg II Freiburg II AL3
09.08.2022 Freiburg II Freiburg II 2-0 HT 0-0 Hallescher FC Hallescher FC AL3
06.04.2022 Hallescher FC Hallescher FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Freiburg II Freiburg II AL3
02.10.2021 Freiburg II Freiburg II 1-1 HT 0-1 Hallescher FC Hallescher FC AL3

Hallescher FC 2-2 Freiburg II — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hallescher FC
2-2
AWAY Freiburg II
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hallescher FC vs Freiburg II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hallescher FC and Freiburg II couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Hallescher FC at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Hallescher FC had 50% of the ball to Freiburg II's 50%, shots finished 9-10.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hallescher FC and 1.40 for Freiburg II.

What was the final score of Hallescher FC vs Freiburg II?

Hallescher FC 2-2 Freiburg II in the Germany - 3rd Division on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hallescher FC vs Freiburg II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hallescher FC win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Hallescher FC 48%, draw 26%, Freiburg II 27%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hallescher FC)
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AL3 More Germany - 3rd Division
16 Mar 2024
16:00 Dynamo Dresden vs Ulm 1846 Analysis →
16:00 Erzgebirge Aue vs Viktoria Köln Analysis →
16:00 1860 München vs Preussen Münster Analysis →
16:00 Lübeck vs Jahn Regensburg Analysis →
16:00 MSV Duisburg vs Saarbrücken Analysis →