Lübeck 1-0 Jahn Regensburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 16 Mar 2024

Lübeck
1-0 HT 1-0
Jahn Regensburg
📅16/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2023/2024

Lübeck vs Jahn Regensburg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.17
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
43%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.86
Over 2.5
51%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.28
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.59
6+ Goals
11%
14.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
5.13
1/2 EV+ ✗
12%
25.5
1/X
8%
14.0
X/1
10%
6.95
X/2
16%
4.52
X/X
11%
4.71
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
15%
2.81
2/X
9%
13.6
Value flag · 1/2 at 25.5 — our 12% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
28%
+1.2pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.0pp
43%
Away Win
45%
-2.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
50%
-0.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
50%
+0.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.3pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lübeck v Jahn Regensburg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lübeck EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Jahn Regensburg EU Bookmakers 49%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
0.94/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/0.65
-27% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +73%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
282 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 75%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
16.0 Crosses –
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.8

Lübeck vs Jahn Regensburg Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lübeck
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Jahn Regensburg
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 8
The Meetings
14.10.2023 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 2-1 HT 2-0 Lübeck Lübeck AL3
22.02.2004 Lübeck Lübeck 0-3 HT 0-2 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg AL2
22.08.2003 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 0-4 HT 0-2 Lübeck Lübeck AL2

Lübeck 1-0 Jahn Regensburg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lübeck
1-0
AWAY Jahn Regensburg
37% Ball Possession 63%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 11
POST-MATCH Lübeck vs Jahn Regensburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lübeck edged past Jahn Regensburg 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Jahn Regensburg at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Lübeck had 37% of the ball to Jahn Regensburg's 63%, shots finished 12-12.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Jahn Regensburg led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Lübeck and 1.67 for Jahn Regensburg.

What was the final score of Lübeck vs Jahn Regensburg?

Lübeck 1-0 Jahn Regensburg in the Germany - 3rd Division on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lübeck vs Jahn Regensburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Jahn Regensburg win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Lübeck 29%, draw 27%, Jahn Regensburg 43%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Jahn Regensburg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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