Cambrian & Clydach 2-2 Caerau (Ely) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 16 Mar 2024

Cambrian & Clydach
2-2 HT 2-1
Caerau (Ely)
📅16/03/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✓ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Wales - FAW Championship – 2023/2024

Cambrian & Clydach vs Caerau (Ely) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.76
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
3.17
Over 2.5
58%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.33
No
40%
3.05
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
15%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
52%
-5.2pp
25%
Draw
21%
+3.5pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+1.7pp
42%
Under 2.5
28%
+13.8pp
58%
Over 2.5
72%
-13.8pp
60%
BTTS Yes
71%
-11.0pp
40%
BTTS No
29%
+11.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cambrian & Clydach v Caerau (Ely) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cambrian & Clydach EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Caerau (Ely) EU Bookmakers 30%
-21% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.87/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.34
-9% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +56%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
373 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Cambrian & Clydach vs Caerau (Ely)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cambrian & Clydach and Caerau (Ely) shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Cambrian & Clydach at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Cambrian & Clydach vs Caerau (Ely)?

Cambrian & Clydach 2-2 Caerau (Ely) in the Wales - FAW Championship on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cambrian & Clydach vs Caerau (Ely)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cambrian & Clydach win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Cambrian & Clydach 47%, draw 25%, Caerau (Ely) 28%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cambrian & Clydach) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cambrian & Clydach) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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