CD Calahorra 1-0 UD Logrones — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.69
Draw
30%
2.77
Away
38%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
Over 2.5
35%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.53
No
64%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 65%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
24%
+7.9pp
30%
Draw
33%
-2.9pp
39%
Away Win
44%
-5.0pp
36%
BTTS Yes
36%
+0.4pp
64%
BTTS No
64%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Calahorra EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY UD Logrones EU Bookmakers 48%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
0.56/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/0.84
-41% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
262 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Calahorra
0W-2D-4L
AWAY UD Logrones
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
03.11.2024 UD Logrones UD Logrones 2-1 HT 1-1 CD Calahorra CD Calahorra İS4
24.03.2024 CD Calahorra CD Calahorra 0-1 HT 0-1 UD Logrones UD Logrones İS4
12.11.2023 UD Logrones UD Logrones 4-0 HT 3-0 CD Calahorra CD Calahorra İS4
12.03.2023 CD Calahorra CD Calahorra 0-0 HT 0-0 UD Logrones UD Logrones İS3
05.11.2022 UD Logrones UD Logrones 0-0 HT 0-0 CD Calahorra CD Calahorra İS3
27.01.2022 UD Logrones UD Logrones 1-0 HT 0-0 CD Calahorra CD Calahorra İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CD Calahorra
1-0
AWAY UD Logrones
36% Ball Possession 64%
14 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH CD Calahorra vs UD Logrones
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Calahorra nicked a narrow win over UD Logrones 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (32% / 30% / 39%) promised a tight game; CD Calahorra found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (64%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, CD Calahorra had 36% of the ball to UD Logrones's 64%, shots finished 14-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, UD Logrones led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for CD Calahorra and 1.33 for UD Logrones.

What was the final score of CD Calahorra vs UD Logrones?

CD Calahorra 1-0 UD Logrones in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Calahorra vs UD Logrones?

Before kick-off our model rated an UD Logrones win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split CD Calahorra 32%, draw 30%, UD Logrones 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (UD Logrones) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (UD Logrones) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS4 More Spain - 2nd Division RFEF
16 Mar 2025
13:30 Cornella vs Mallorca II Analysis →
13:30 La Union Atletico vs Xerez Deportivo Analysis →
13:30 Illescas vs Atlético Paso Analysis →
14:00 Conquense vs Melilla Analysis →
14:00 Real Madrid III vs Cacereno Analysis →
14:00 Rayo Majadahonda vs CD Guadalajara Analysis →