Coruxo 2-0 Compostela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.57
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
34%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.52
Over 2.5
38%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.09
No
57%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
21%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
35%
+3.1pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.6pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-1.5pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.0pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.1pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Coruxo EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Compostela EU Bookmakers 39%
-13% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -20%
0.77/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.07
-31% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / -4%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
261 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Coruxo
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Compostela
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 4
03.11.2024 Compostela Compostela 1-0 HT 1-0 Coruxo Coruxo İS4
07.04.2024 Coruxo Coruxo 0-0 HT 0-0 Compostela Compostela İS4
26.11.2023 Compostela Compostela 1-0 HT 0-0 Coruxo Coruxo İS4
12.03.2023 Coruxo Coruxo 1-0 HT 1-0 Compostela Compostela İS4
23.10.2022 Compostela Compostela 1-1 HT 1-1 Coruxo Coruxo İS4
27.03.2022 Compostela Compostela 1-1 HT 1-1 Coruxo Coruxo İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Coruxo
2-0
AWAY Compostela
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Coruxo vs Compostela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Coruxo saw off Compostela 2-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Coruxo found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Coruxo had 40% of the ball to Compostela's 60%, shots finished 10-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Compostela led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Coruxo and 0.67 for Compostela.

What was the final score of Coruxo vs Compostela?

Coruxo 2-0 Compostela in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Coruxo vs Compostela?

Before kick-off our model rated a Coruxo win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Coruxo 38%, draw 28%, Compostela 34%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Coruxo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Coruxo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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