Eibar II 1-2 Izarra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒17:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.29
Draw
20%
4.62
Away
14%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.71
Over 2.5
53%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
3.05
No
57%
1.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
23%
X/2
5%
X/X
4%
2/1
4%
2/2
5%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Eibar II win — 67%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
74%
-7.4pp
20%
Draw
19%
+0.5pp
14%
Away Win
7%
+6.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
55%
-7.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
45%
+7.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
29%
+14.5pp
57%
BTTS No
71%
-14.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eibar II EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Izarra EU Bookmakers 9%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
2.24/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/2.14
+22% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -15%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
438 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eibar II
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Izarra
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
18 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
03.11.2024 Izarra Izarra 0-1 HT 0-0 Eibar II Eibar II İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eibar II
1-2
AWAY Izarra
67% Ball Possession 33%
18 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 5
13 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Eibar II vs Izarra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Izarra nicked a narrow win over Eibar II 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Eibar II at 67% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Eibar II had 67% of the ball to Izarra's 33%, shots finished 18-7.

What was the final score of Eibar II vs Izarra?

Eibar II 1-2 Izarra in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eibar II vs Izarra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eibar II win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Eibar II 67%, draw 20%, Izarra 14%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Eibar II), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Eibar II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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