Linares Deportivo 1-2 Estepona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.33
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
Over 2.5
35%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.27
No
59%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 65%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
39%
-4.5pp
31%
Draw
30%
+0.7pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+3.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
40%
+0.7pp
59%
BTTS No
60%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Linares Deportivo EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Estepona EU Bookmakers 34%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +3%
1.73/0.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/0.74
+43% / +145% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +50%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
273 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Linares Deportivo
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Estepona
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.11.2024 Estepona Estepona 1-1 HT 0-0 Linares Deportivo Linares Deportivo İS4
POST-MATCH Linares Deportivo vs Estepona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estepona nicked a narrow win over Linares Deportivo 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (35% / 31% / 34%) promised a tight game; Estepona found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Linares Deportivo vs Estepona?

Linares Deportivo 1-2 Estepona in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Linares Deportivo vs Estepona?

Before kick-off our model rated a Linares Deportivo win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Linares Deportivo 35%, draw 31%, Estepona 34%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Linares Deportivo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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