Lleida Esportiu 0-1 Europa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
32%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.59
Over 2.5
40%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.99
No
60%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-5.0pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.5pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+6.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.2pp
40%
BTTS Yes
46%
-6.3pp
60%
BTTS No
54%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lleida Esportiu EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Europa EU Bookmakers 29%
-12% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.11/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.51
-15% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -20%
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
275 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lleida Esportiu
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Europa
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
03.11.2024 Europa Europa 0-3 HT 0-0 Lleida Esportiu Lleida Esportiu İS4
17.12.2023 Europa Europa 3-0 HT 0-0 Lleida Esportiu Lleida Esportiu İS4
06.02.2022 Europa Europa 0-1 HT 0-0 Lleida Esportiu Lleida Esportiu İS4
19.09.2021 Lleida Esportiu Lleida Esportiu 0-2 HT 0-1 Europa Europa İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lleida Esportiu
0-1
AWAY Europa
64% Ball Possession 36%
3 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lleida Esportiu vs Europa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Europa nicked a narrow win over Lleida Esportiu 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Lleida Esportiu at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Lleida Esportiu had 64% of the ball to Europa's 36%, shots finished 3-8.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lleida Esportiu and 1.25 for Europa.

What was the final score of Lleida Esportiu vs Europa?

Lleida Esportiu 0-1 Europa in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lleida Esportiu vs Europa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lleida Esportiu win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Lleida Esportiu 41%, draw 27%, Europa 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Lleida Esportiu) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lleida Esportiu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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