16/03/2025
·
19:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
3-0
Teruel vs Subiza Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
30%
X/2
10%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Teruel win — 57% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH
Home Win
Over 2.5
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
69%
20%
Draw
19%
23%
Away Win
12%
45%
Under 2.5
41%
55%
Over 2.5
59%
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
52%
BTTS No
51%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Teruel v Subiza — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Teruel
EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY
Subiza
EU Bookmakers 15%
-2% /
-2%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+12% /
+12%
2.26/0.52
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.93/1.72
+23%
/
+32%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+29%
/
-3%
57%
Ball Possession
43%
16
Total Shots
9
6
Shots on Target
4
7
Corners
4
327 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
303 · 74%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.4
Yellow Cards
2.7
Teruel vs Subiza Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Teruel
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Subiza
2.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
52%
Ball Possession
48%
8
Total Shots
19
3
Shots on Target
4
3
Corners
11
2
Yellow Cards
5
The Meetings
Teruel 1-0 Subiza — Actual Match Statistics
RESULT
Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME
Teruel
1-0
AWAY
Subiza
50%
Ball Possession
50%
11
Total Shots
7
4
Shots on Target
2
8
Corners
4
1
Yellow Cards
1
POST-MATCH
Teruel vs Subiza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Teruel nicked a narrow win over Subiza 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Teruel as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Teruel had 50% of the ball to Subiza's 50%, shots finished 11-7.
What was the final score of Teruel vs Subiza?
Teruel 1-0 Subiza in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Teruel vs Subiza?
Before kick-off our model rated a Teruel win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Teruel 57%, draw 20%, Subiza 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Teruel), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Teruel)
✗ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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İS4
More Spain - 2nd Division RFEF
16 Mar 2025