Puszcza Niepolomice 2-1 Piast Gliwice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒14:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.29
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.51
Over 2.5
43%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.09
No
55%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.14
2-3 Goals
44%
1.74
4-5 Goals
17%
5.14
6+ Goals
8%
33.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
5.68
1/2
9%
32.5
1/X
8%
15.25
X/1
14%
6.69
X/2
8%
4.52
X/X
14%
3.68
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
22%
3.13
2/X
6%
14.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
27%
+5.3pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.7pp
40%
Away Win
44%
-3.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.3pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Puszcza Niepolomice EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Piast Gliwice EU Bookmakers 48%
+3% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -17%
1.07/1.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.07
-7% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +24%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
284 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 76%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
18.6 Crosses 22.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Puszcza Niepolomice
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Piast Gliwice
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.10 xG 1.61
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 3
206 Passes 351
69% Pass Accuracy 82%
10 Box Touches 17
12 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
15.09.2024 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 1-1 HT 0-0 Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice POL
12.03.2024 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 1-0 HT 1-0 Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice POL
02.12.2023 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 0-0 HT 0-0 Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice POL
16.01.2014 Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice 1-4 HT 1-2 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Puszcza Niepolomice
2-1
AWAY Piast Gliwice
2.16 xG 2.03
28% Ball Possession 72%
11 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 11
133 Passes 481
59% Pass Accuracy 84%
24 Box Touches 25
13 Crosses 35
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Puszcza Niepolomice vs Piast Gliwice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Puszcza Niepolomice squeezed past Piast Gliwice 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 28% / 40% — and on the day Puszcza Niepolomice made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Puszcza Niepolomice had 28% of the ball to Piast Gliwice's 72%, shots finished 11-19, expected goals 2.16 to 2.03.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Piast Gliwice led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Puszcza Niepolomice and 1.50 for Piast Gliwice.

What was the final score of Puszcza Niepolomice vs Piast Gliwice?

Puszcza Niepolomice 2-1 Piast Gliwice in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Puszcza Niepolomice vs Piast Gliwice?

Before kick-off our model rated an Piast Gliwice win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Puszcza Niepolomice 32%, draw 28%, Piast Gliwice 40%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Piast Gliwice) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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