Zaglebie Lubin 1-1 Korona Kielce — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒16:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
33%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.62
2-3 Goals
39%
1.71
4-5 Goals
20%
3.99
6+ Goals
10%
19.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.72
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.05
X/1
13%
4.4
X/2
13%
7.37
X/X
13%
4.34
2/1
5%
27.0
2/2
15%
5.99
2/X
9%
15.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
48%
-8.1pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.5pp
33%
Away Win
25%
+7.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.8pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zaglebie Lubin EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Korona Kielce EU Bookmakers 29%
+3% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +2%
1.30/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.09
-7% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
309 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 78%
25.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
21.5 Crosses 17.4
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zaglebie Lubin
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Korona Kielce
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.68 xG 1.21
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
301 Passes 314
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.09.2024 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 2-0 HT 2-0 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin POL
03.03.2024 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 1-0 HT 1-0 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce POL
27.08.2023 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 2-0 HT 2-0 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin POL
23.04.2023 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 2-2 HT 2-2 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin POL
09.10.2022 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 1-1 HT 1-0 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce POL
26.06.2020 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 2-1 HT 1-1 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zaglebie Lubin
1-1
AWAY Korona Kielce
0.57 xG 1.64
26% Ball Possession 74%
8 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 8
108 Passes 471
55% Pass Accuracy 84%
21 Box Touches 35
14 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Zaglebie Lubin vs Korona Kielce
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zaglebie Lubin and Korona Kielce couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Zaglebie Lubin had 26% of the ball to Korona Kielce's 74%, shots finished 8-15, expected goals 0.57 to 1.64.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Zaglebie Lubin and 1.33 for Korona Kielce.

What was the final score of Zaglebie Lubin vs Korona Kielce?

Zaglebie Lubin 1-1 Korona Kielce in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zaglebie Lubin vs Korona Kielce?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zaglebie Lubin win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Zaglebie Lubin 40%, draw 27%, Korona Kielce 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Zaglebie Lubin), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zaglebie Lubin) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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