Porto II 0-1 Leixoes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.58
2-3 Goals
39%
1.71
4-5 Goals
21%
4.07
6+ Goals
9%
20.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-1.7pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.8pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+2.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.0pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Porto II EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Leixoes EU Bookmakers 34%
-5% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -23%
1.47/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.41
+15% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
317 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.0 Crosses 19.5
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Porto II
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Leixoes
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.63 xG 1.28
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
322 Passes 283
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 4
27.10.2024 Leixoes Leixoes 3-0 HT 2-0 Porto II Porto II POR2
24.02.2024 Porto II Porto II 0-2 HT 0-1 Leixoes Leixoes POR2
01.10.2023 Leixoes Leixoes 1-3 HT 1-0 Porto II Porto II POR2
19.03.2023 Porto II Porto II 4-0 HT 2-0 Leixoes Leixoes POR2
08.10.2022 Leixoes Leixoes 0-0 HT 0-0 Porto II Porto II POR2
16.04.2022 Leixoes Leixoes 0-0 HT 0-0 Porto II Porto II POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Porto II
0-1
AWAY Leixoes
0.64 xG 2.11
62% Ball Possession 38%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
398 Passes 217
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
20 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Porto II vs Leixoes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leixoes nicked a narrow win over Porto II 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 33% — and on the day Leixoes made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Porto II had 62% of the ball to Leixoes's 38%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 0.64 to 2.11 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Leixoes's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Porto II and 1.00 for Leixoes.

What was the final score of Porto II vs Leixoes?

Porto II 0-1 Leixoes in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Porto II vs Leixoes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Porto II win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Porto II 40%, draw 27%, Leixoes 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Porto II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Porto II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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