Uniao De Leiria vs Mafra Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Uniao De Leiria v Mafra — Team-Based Signals
Uniao De Leiria vs Mafra Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
3-0
HT 2-0
Uniao De Leiria
POR2
Uniao De Leiria 3-1 Mafra — Actual Match Statistics
Uniao De Leiria beat Mafra 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Uniao De Leiria as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Uniao De Leiria had 53% of the ball to Mafra's 47%, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 3.24 to 1.94.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Mafra led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Uniao De Leiria and 2.67 for Mafra.
What was the final score of Uniao De Leiria vs Mafra?
Uniao De Leiria 3-1 Mafra in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Uniao De Leiria vs Mafra?
Before kick-off our model rated a Uniao De Leiria win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Uniao De Leiria 48%, draw 27%, Mafra 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Uniao De Leiria) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.