Tondela vs Benfica II Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tondela v Benfica II — Team-Based Signals
Tondela vs Benfica II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Tondela
POR2
2-1
HT 0-0
Tondela
POR2
1-1
HT 1-1
Benfica II
POR2
2-1
HT 1-1
Benfica II
POR2
Tondela 2-1 Benfica II — Actual Match Statistics
Tondela edged past Benfica II 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Tondela as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Tondela had 33% of the ball to Benfica II's 67%, shots finished 18-8, expected goals 1.88 to 0.76.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tondela had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Tondela and 1.17 for Benfica II.
What was the final score of Tondela vs Benfica II?
Tondela 2-1 Benfica II in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tondela vs Benfica II?
Before kick-off our model rated a Tondela win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Tondela 42%, draw 29%, Benfica II 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tondela) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.