Tacoma Defiance vs Oakland Roots Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tacoma Defiance v Oakland Roots — Team-Based Signals
Tacoma Defiance vs Oakland Roots Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Oakland Roots
USLP
3-1
HT 2-1
Tacoma Defiance
USLP
3-1
HT 1-1
Tacoma Defiance
USLP
3-1
HT 3-0
Oakland Roots
USLP
Tacoma Defiance 2-1 Oakland Roots — Actual Match Statistics
Tacoma Defiance nicked a narrow win over Oakland Roots 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Tacoma Defiance as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Tacoma Defiance had 47% of the ball to Oakland Roots's 53%, shots finished 8-22, expected goals 0.66 to 1.62 — on chances, Oakland Roots could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Oakland Roots led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Tacoma Defiance and 1.75 for Oakland Roots.
What was the final score of Tacoma Defiance vs Oakland Roots?
Tacoma Defiance 2-1 Oakland Roots in the USA - Open Cup on 16/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tacoma Defiance vs Oakland Roots?
Before kick-off our model rated a Tacoma Defiance win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Tacoma Defiance 46%, draw 25%, Oakland Roots 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tacoma Defiance), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.