Hobro IK 3-1 Vendsyssel FF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 16 Apr 2025

📅16/04/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.92
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
26%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.9
Over 2.5
44%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.2
2-3 Goals
42%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
3.41
6+ Goals
8%
13.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.2 — our 29% vs market 24.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.7
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.75
X/1
16%
4.63
X/2
8%
7.51
X/X
12%
4.95
2/1
9%
24.2
2/2
11%
5.66
2/X
10%
14.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-1.7pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.2pp
26%
Away Win
26%
-0.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
49%
+7.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
51%
-7.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.7pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hobro IK EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Vendsyssel FF EU Bookmakers 30%
-1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -10%
1.59/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.65
-16% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / +3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
364 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 69%
31.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
23.8 Crosses 18.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hobro IK
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Vendsyssel FF
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.50 xG 0.73
52% Ball Possession 48%
19 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 5
364 Passes 322
81% Pass Accuracy 75%
35 Box Touches 21
24 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.02.2025 Hobro IK Hobro IK 1-0 HT 0-0 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF DAN1
21.08.2024 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF 0-3 HT 0-1 Hobro IK Hobro IK DAN1
13.05.2024 Hobro IK Hobro IK 4-1 HT 0-1 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF DAN1
28.04.2024 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF 3-1 HT 0-1 Hobro IK Hobro IK DAN1
16.03.2024 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF 1-1 HT 1-1 Hobro IK Hobro IK DAN1
13.08.2023 Hobro IK Hobro IK 0-1 HT 0-0 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF DAN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hobro IK
3-1
AWAY Vendsyssel FF
1.21 xG 1.74
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 23
5 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 8
197 Passes 371
71% Pass Accuracy 81%
13 Box Touches 39
15 Crosses 32
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hobro IK vs Vendsyssel FF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hobro IK beat Vendsyssel FF 3-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hobro IK as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hobro IK had 37% of the ball to Vendsyssel FF's 63%, shots finished 9-23, expected goals 1.21 to 1.74 — on chances, Vendsyssel FF could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hobro IK had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Hobro IK and 1.00 for Vendsyssel FF.

What was the final score of Hobro IK vs Vendsyssel FF?

Hobro IK 3-1 Vendsyssel FF in the Denmark 1st Division on 16/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hobro IK vs Vendsyssel FF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hobro IK win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Hobro IK 46%, draw 28%, Vendsyssel FF 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hobro IK) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hobro IK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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