Aluminij 2-1 Mura — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 16 Apr 2026

Aluminij
2 - 1 HT 1 - 0
Mura
📅16/04/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.56
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
39%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
1.98
Over
53%
1.76
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
57%
1.61
No
43%
2.17
Total Goals
0-1
24%
3.58
2-3
46%
1.76
4-5
24%
3.04
6+
6%
10.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
3%
2/2
22%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Aluminij The Market 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Mura The Market 42%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Weak
1.29 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.43
1.55 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.29
Average Attack Strength Weak
Weak Defense Strength Weak
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
260 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aluminij
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Mura
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.02.2026 Mura Mura 0-3 HT 0-1 Aluminij Aluminij SLVN
17.10.2025 Aluminij Aluminij 2-2 HT 0-1 Mura Mura SLVN
02.08.2025 Mura Mura 1-1 HT 1-1 Aluminij Aluminij SLVN
29.04.2024 Mura Mura 3-1 HT 1-0 Aluminij Aluminij SLVN
01.03.2024 Aluminij Aluminij 2-0 HT 0-0 Mura Mura SLVN
04.11.2023 Mura Mura 1-0 HT 0-0 Aluminij Aluminij SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aluminij
2 - 1
AWAY Mura
35% Ball Possession 65%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 9
REVIEW Aluminij vs Mura
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Aluminij squeezed past Mura 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

From a near-even 34% / 27% / 39% read, it was Aluminij who turned the coin-flip their way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

The match data tells the story: Mura saw more of the ball, 65% to 35%, shots finished 11-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.50 a game for Aluminij against 1.17 for Mura.

Aluminij vs Mura Result & Final Score

Aluminij 2 - 1 Mura in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 16/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Aluminij vs Mura Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Mura win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Aluminij 34%, draw 27%, Mura 39%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Mura) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mura) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →