Colorado Rapids 1-0 Vancouver Whitecaps — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 16 May 2024

📅16/05/2024 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.9
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.18
Over 2.5 OUR CALL
52%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.56
No
48%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.33
2-3 Goals
39%
1.88
4-5 Goals
23%
2.97
6+ Goals
11%
8.96
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.55
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
12.75
X/1
15%
4.66
X/2
7%
7.85
X/X
13%
5.27
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
22.3
2/2
15%
5.3
2/X
7%
13.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.3 — our 9% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
49%
-2.9pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.1pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+1.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
58%
-6.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.5pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colorado Rapids EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Vancouver Whitecaps EU Bookmakers 30%
-3% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +2%
1.39/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.24
-27% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +0%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
370 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 77%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
19.4 Crosses 18.4
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Colorado Rapids
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Vancouver Whitecaps
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.69 xG 1.02
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
363 Passes 377
85% Pass Accuracy 84%
24 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 1
28.09.2023 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 2-2 HT 0-1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD
30.04.2023 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 0-0 HT 0-0 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids ABD
11.09.2022 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 3-1 HT 2-1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD
18.08.2022 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 2-1 HT 2-0 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids ABD
20.09.2021 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 1-1 HT 1-1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD
03.05.2021 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 0-1 HT 0-1 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Colorado Rapids
1-0
AWAY Vancouver Whitecaps
2.64 xG 0.67
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 6
478 Passes 331
87% Pass Accuracy 82%
45 Box Touches 9
20 Crosses 12
POST-MATCH Colorado Rapids vs Vancouver Whitecaps
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colorado Rapids squeezed past Vancouver Whitecaps 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Colorado Rapids as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Colorado Rapids had 58% of the ball to Vancouver Whitecaps's 42%, shots finished 18-8, expected goals 2.64 to 0.67 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Colorado Rapids's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Colorado Rapids had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Colorado Rapids and 1.00 for Vancouver Whitecaps.

What was the final score of Colorado Rapids vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

Colorado Rapids 1-0 Vancouver Whitecaps in the USA - Major League on 16/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colorado Rapids vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

Before kick-off our model rated a Colorado Rapids win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Colorado Rapids 46%, draw 26%, Vancouver Whitecaps 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Colorado Rapids) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Colorado Rapids) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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