Gagra 1-1 Dinamo Tbilisi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 16 May 2025

📅16/05/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.99
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
37%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.6
Over 2.5
40%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.95
No
58%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
30%
+4.9pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.6pp
37%
Away Win
42%
-5.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.8pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gagra EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Tbilisi EU Bookmakers 46%
+11% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -1%
1.43/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.06
+33% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -13%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
278 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gagra
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Dinamo Tbilisi
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
46% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.04.2025 Gagra Gagra 0-4 HT 0-2 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi GUR
08.12.2024 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 0-1 HT 0-0 Gagra Gagra GUR
01.10.2024 Gagra Gagra 0-0 HT 0-0 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi GUR
01.06.2024 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 2-0 HT 0-0 Gagra Gagra GUR
16.04.2024 Gagra Gagra 0-2 HT 0-0 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi GUR
21.10.2023 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 0-1 HT 0-1 Gagra Gagra GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gagra
1-1
AWAY Dinamo Tbilisi
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gagra vs Dinamo Tbilisi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gagra and Dinamo Tbilisi shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 29% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Gagra had 56% of the ball to Dinamo Tbilisi's 44%, shots finished 14-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Tbilisi led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Gagra and 1.33 for Dinamo Tbilisi.

What was the final score of Gagra vs Dinamo Tbilisi?

Gagra 1-1 Dinamo Tbilisi in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 16/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gagra vs Dinamo Tbilisi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dinamo Tbilisi win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Gagra 34%, draw 29%, Dinamo Tbilisi 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Dinamo Tbilisi), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dinamo Tbilisi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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