Cultural Leonesa 2-1 Eibar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 16 May 2026

📅16/05/2026 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.84
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
42%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.71
Over 2.5
45%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.69
2-3 Goals
43%
1.73
4-5 Goals
18%
4.01
6+ Goals
8%
19.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.69 — our 31% vs market 30.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.68
1/2
11%
28.0
1/X
8%
13.75
X/1
11%
6.24
X/2
19%
4.93
X/X
10%
4.2
2/1
8%
34.0
2/2
12%
3.26
2/X
9%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
+0.2pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.4pp
42%
Away Win
41%
+1.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
55%
-0.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
45%
+0.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+2.2pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cultural Leonesa EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Eibar EU Bookmakers 45%
-24% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +2%
1.20/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.14
-47% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +7%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
311 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 79%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
15.3 Crosses 17.6
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cultural Leonesa
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Eibar
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 22
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
299 Passes 436
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
07.12.2025 Eibar Eibar 1-2 HT 1-1 Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cultural Leonesa
2-1
AWAY Eibar
1.10 xG 1.86
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
405 Passes 340
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
13 Box Touches 19
13 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cultural Leonesa vs Eibar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cultural Leonesa squeezed past Eibar 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Eibar at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cultural Leonesa had 54% of the ball to Eibar's 46%, shots finished 8-14, expected goals 1.10 to 1.86 — the balance of chances actually favoured Eibar.

What was the final score of Cultural Leonesa vs Eibar?

Cultural Leonesa 2-1 Eibar in the Spain - 2nd Division on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cultural Leonesa vs Eibar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Eibar win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Cultural Leonesa 32%, draw 26%, Eibar 42%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Eibar), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Eibar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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