Granada 0-1 Burgos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 16 May 2026

📅16/05/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.29
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
38%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.51
Over 2.5
44%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.09
No
51%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.2
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
17%
5.18
6+ Goals
8%
33.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
5.59
1/2
8%
32.0
1/X
7%
15.2
X/1
15%
6.61
X/2
17%
4.49
X/X
14%
3.7
2/1
12%
34.0
2/2
13%
3.1
2/X
6%
14.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
27%
+7.8pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.3pp
38%
Away Win
44%
-5.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
62%
-6.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
38%
+6.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.7pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Granada EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Burgos EU Bookmakers 48%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +36% / +36%
0.73/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/0.48
-30% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% /
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
278 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 424 · 82%
10.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.0
21.3 Crosses 10.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Granada
2W-3D-0L
AWAY Burgos
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
0.90 xG 0.83
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
320 Passes 254
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
15 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 3
22.09.2025 Burgos Burgos 1-1 HT 0-0 Granada Granada İS2
10.01.2025 Granada Granada 0-0 HT 0-0 Burgos Burgos İS2
29.09.2024 Burgos Burgos 2-2 HT 0-0 Granada Granada İS2
04.03.2023 Burgos Burgos 1-3 HT 1-0 Granada Granada İS2
11.12.2022 Granada Granada 1-0 HT 1-0 Burgos Burgos İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Granada
0-1
AWAY Burgos
0.26 xG 1.08
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 5
336 Passes 263
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 11
13 Crosses 10
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Granada vs Burgos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Burgos nicked a narrow win over Granada 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 27% / 38% — and on the day Burgos made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Granada had 55% of the ball to Burgos's 45%, shots finished 8-8, expected goals 0.26 to 1.08.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Granada had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Granada and 0.80 for Burgos.

What was the final score of Granada vs Burgos?

Granada 0-1 Burgos in the Spain - 2nd Division on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Granada vs Burgos?

Before kick-off our model rated an Burgos win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Granada 35%, draw 27%, Burgos 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Burgos), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Burgos) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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