Racing Santander 4-1 Valladolid — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 16 May 2026

📅16/05/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.42
Draw
20%
4.49
Away
21%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.43
Over 2.5
64%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.7
No
40%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.86
2-3 Goals
34%
1.92
4-5 Goals
33%
2.65
6+ Goals
14%
6.76
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.68
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
6%
16.75
X/1
23%
4.0
X/2
10%
13.4
X/X
8%
7.22
2/1
7%
19.4
2/2
6%
10.4
2/X
6%
18.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
66%
-7.1pp
20%
Draw
19%
+1.4pp
21%
Away Win
15%
+5.9pp
36%
Under 2.5
38%
-1.8pp
64%
Over 2.5
62%
+1.8pp
60%
BTTS Yes
55%
+5.6pp
40%
BTTS No
45%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Racing Santander EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Valladolid EU Bookmakers 18%
-15% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.96/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.51
-3% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -32%
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
356 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 75%
34.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
21.0 Crosses 13.3
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Racing Santander
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Valladolid
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.23 xG 1.38
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
256 Passes 375
73% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 19
7 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 4
03.01.2026 Valladolid Valladolid 1-1 HT 0-0 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS2
29.01.2024 Valladolid Valladolid 3-1 HT 1-0 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS2
11.11.2023 Racing Santander Racing Santander 2-3 HT 0-1 Valladolid Valladolid İS2
27.07.2019 Valladolid Valladolid 1-0 HT 0-0 Racing Santander Racing Santander HAZ
07.02.2015 Racing Santander Racing Santander 1-4 HT 0-1 Valladolid Valladolid İS2
07.09.2014 Valladolid Valladolid 3-1 HT 1-0 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Racing Santander
4-1
AWAY Valladolid
2.63 xG 1.61
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
350 Passes 315
84% Pass Accuracy 86%
26 Box Touches 12
15 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Racing Santander vs Valladolid
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Racing Santander ran out comfortable winners over Valladolid 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Racing Santander as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Racing Santander had 53% of the ball to Valladolid's 47%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 2.63 to 1.61.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valladolid led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Racing Santander and 2.50 for Valladolid.

What was the final score of Racing Santander vs Valladolid?

Racing Santander 4-1 Valladolid in the Spain - 2nd Division on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Racing Santander vs Valladolid?

Before kick-off our model rated a Racing Santander win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Racing Santander 59%, draw 20%, Valladolid 21%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Racing Santander), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Racing Santander) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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