Almeria 1-2 Las Palmas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 16 May 2026

Almeria
1-2 HT 0-0
Las Palmas
📅16/05/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2025/2026

Almeria vs Las Palmas Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.8
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
25%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.21
Over 2.5
60%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.56
No
37%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.3
2-3 Goals
37%
1.86
4-5 Goals
28%
2.81
6+ Goals
14%
8.07
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.34
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
8%
12.55
X/1 EV+ ✗
21%
4.69
X/2
7%
8.64
X/X
10%
5.48
2/1
6%
21.1
2/2
13%
6.05
2/X
5%
13.6
Value flag · X/1 at 4.69 — our 21% vs market 16.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
51%
+0.8pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.2pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.4pp
40%
Under 2.5
41%
-1.9pp
60%
Over 2.5
59%
+1.9pp
63%
BTTS Yes
60%
+2.9pp
37%
BTTS No
40%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Almeria v Las Palmas — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Almeria EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Las Palmas EU Bookmakers 28%
+2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.63/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.33
+24% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
330 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 78%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
19.5 Crosses 15.1
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5

Almeria vs Las Palmas Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Almeria
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Las Palmas
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.68 xG 0.97
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
255 Passes 459
75% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 21
12 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.09.2025 Las Palmas Las Palmas 0-1 HT 0-1 Almeria Almeria İS2
17.03.2024 Las Palmas Las Palmas 0-1 HT 0-1 Almeria Almeria İS1
28.10.2023 Almeria Almeria 1-2 HT 0-1 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS1
23.07.2023 Almeria Almeria 0-0 Las Palmas Las Palmas HAZ
09.01.2022 Las Palmas Las Palmas 1-1 HT 1-0 Almeria Almeria İS2
09.10.2021 Almeria Almeria 1-1 HT 1-0 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS2

Almeria 1-2 Las Palmas — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Almeria
1-2
AWAY Las Palmas
2.41 xG 1.57
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
404 Passes 346
87% Pass Accuracy 84%
33 Box Touches 15
25 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Almeria vs Las Palmas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Las Palmas edged past Almeria 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Almeria at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (63%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Almeria had 54% of the ball to Las Palmas's 46%, shots finished 18-14, expected goals 2.41 to 1.57 — on chances, Almeria could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Almeria had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Almeria and 0.67 for Las Palmas.

What was the final score of Almeria vs Las Palmas?

Almeria 1-2 Las Palmas in the Spain - 2nd Division on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Almeria vs Las Palmas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Almeria win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Almeria 52%, draw 22%, Las Palmas 25%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Almeria) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Almeria) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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