Winterthur 0-3 Luzern — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 16 May 2026

📅16/05/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
5.4
Draw
16%
4.95
Away
64%
1.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
3.68
Over 2.5
61%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.43
No
42%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
8.64
2-3 Goals
35%
2.38
4-5 Goals
28%
2.24
6+ Goals
15%
3.43
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
27%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
30%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
15%
+4.5pp
16%
Draw
17%
-0.9pp
64%
Away Win
68%
-3.6pp
39%
Under 2.5
24%
+15.0pp
61%
Over 2.5
76%
-15.0pp
58%
BTTS Yes
66%
-7.9pp
42%
BTTS No
34%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Winterthur EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Luzern EU Bookmakers 72%
+13% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -74% / -74%
1.16/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.24/0.97
+19% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / -36%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
247 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 424 · 82%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.0
15.0 Crosses 27.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Winterthur
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Luzern
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.35 xG 2.49
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 21
5 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 6
278 Passes 402
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
21 Box Touches 36
13 Crosses 27
4 Yellow Cards 2
15.03.2026 Luzern Luzern 1-2 HT 1-2 Winterthur Winterthur İSV
29.11.2025 Luzern Luzern 1-3 HT 1-1 Winterthur Winterthur İSV
25.10.2025 Winterthur Winterthur 2-2 HT 2-0 Luzern Luzern İSV
09.02.2025 Luzern Luzern 3-2 HT 1-1 Winterthur Winterthur İSV
14.12.2024 Winterthur Winterthur 3-4 HT 3-2 Luzern Luzern İSV
24.08.2024 Luzern Luzern 3-0 HT 1-0 Winterthur Winterthur İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Winterthur
0-3
AWAY Luzern
0.67 xG 2.61
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 26
0 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 6
298 Passes 426
81% Pass Accuracy 86%
15 Box Touches 40
9 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Winterthur vs Luzern
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Luzern cruised past Winterthur 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Luzern as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (61%) landed while both teams to score (58%) missed.

On the day, Winterthur had 42% of the ball to Luzern's 58%, shots finished 12-26, expected goals 0.67 to 2.61.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Luzern led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Winterthur and 2.33 for Luzern.

What was the final score of Winterthur vs Luzern?

Winterthur 0-3 Luzern in the Switzerland - Super League on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Winterthur vs Luzern?

Before kick-off our model rated an Luzern win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Winterthur 20%, draw 16%, Luzern 64%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Luzern), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Luzern) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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