CF Montreal 0-2 Chicago Fire — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 16 May 2026

📅16/05/2026 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.53
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
35%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.18
Over 2.5
51%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.53
No
47%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.15
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
2.87
6+ Goals
11%
8.54
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
3.88
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
23.5
1/X
5%
12.6
X/1
12%
6.2
X/2
10%
5.55
X/X
10%
5.31
2/1
7%
26.0
2/2
18%
3.27
2/X
7%
12.45
Value flag · 1/2 at 23.5 — our 7% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
36%
+6.9pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.8pp
35%
Away Win
39%
-4.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
58%
-6.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
61%
-7.8pp
47%
BTTS No
39%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CF Montreal EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Chicago Fire EU Bookmakers 43%
+6% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +21%
1.34/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.93/1.58
-3% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +94% / +8%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
313 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 81%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.6
17.5 Crosses 13.9
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CF Montreal
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Chicago Fire
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.66 xG 1.11
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
370 Passes 380
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
23 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.02.2026 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 3-0 HT 1-0 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
20.07.2025 CF Montreal CF Montreal 0-2 HT 0-1 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire ABD
30.03.2025 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 1-1 HT 1-0 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
22.09.2024 CF Montreal CF Montreal 2-0 HT 1-0 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire ABD
16.03.2024 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 4-3 HT 1-2 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
17.09.2023 CF Montreal CF Montreal 0-0 HT 0-0 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CF Montreal
0-2
AWAY Chicago Fire
0.96 xG 1.08
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
16 Corners 3
366 Passes 253
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
42 Box Touches 18
36 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 3
FAQ CF Montreal vs Chicago Fire
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Chicago Fire beat CF Montreal 2-0 away from home in the USA - Major League on 16 May 2026. Half-time: 0-1.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, CF Montreal had 60% of the ball to Chicago Fire's 40%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 0.96 to 1.08.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chicago Fire lead the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for CF Montreal and 1.67 for Chicago Fire.

What was the final score of CF Montreal vs Chicago Fire?

CF Montreal 0-2 Chicago Fire in the USA - Major League on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CF Montreal vs Chicago Fire?

Before kick-off our model rated a CF Montreal win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split CF Montreal 43%, draw 22%, Chicago Fire 35%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (CF Montreal) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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