Moreton City Excelsior 4-3 Brisbane Olympic FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 16 May 2026

📅16/05/2026 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.76
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
25%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.46
No
42%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
52%
+0.1pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.1pp
25%
Away Win
25%
-0.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
64%
-6.2pp
42%
BTTS No
36%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Moreton City Excelsior EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Brisbane Olympic FC EU Bookmakers 29%
+29% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
3.38/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.14/1.41
+54% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +53% / +35%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
352 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Moreton City Excelsior
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Brisbane Olympic FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
07.06.2025 Moreton City Excelsior Moreton City Excelsior 2-0 HT 0-0 Brisbane Olympic FC Brisbane Olympic FC AVSQ
02.03.2025 Brisbane Olympic FC Brisbane Olympic FC 1-2 HT 1-1 Moreton City Excelsior Moreton City Excelsior AVSQ
25.05.2024 Moreton City Excelsior Moreton City Excelsior 1-1 HT 0-0 Brisbane Olympic FC Brisbane Olympic FC AVNPL
25.02.2024 Brisbane Olympic FC Brisbane Olympic FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Moreton City Excelsior Moreton City Excelsior AVNPL
POST-MATCH Moreton City Excelsior vs Brisbane Olympic FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Moreton City Excelsior edged past Brisbane Olympic FC 4-3. Half-time: 2-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Moreton City Excelsior as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Moreton City Excelsior had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Moreton City Excelsior and 0.75 for Brisbane Olympic FC.

What was the final score of Moreton City Excelsior vs Brisbane Olympic FC?

Moreton City Excelsior 4-3 Brisbane Olympic FC in the Australia - National Premier League on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Moreton City Excelsior vs Brisbane Olympic FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Moreton City Excelsior win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Moreton City Excelsior 52%, draw 23%, Brisbane Olympic FC 25%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Moreton City Excelsior), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Moreton City Excelsior) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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