Naesby 4-1 Bronshoj BK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 3rd Division, 16 May 2026

📅16/05/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.75
Draw
18%
3.72
Away
29%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.55
No
47%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
12%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
53%
+0.2pp
18%
Draw
24%
-5.8pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.9pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naesby EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Bronshoj BK EU Bookmakers 27%
-2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
2.61/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.42/1.52
+47% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -67% / +18%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
380 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 5.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Naesby
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Bronshoj BK
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
11.04.2026 Bronshoj BK Bronshoj BK 1-1 HT 0-1 Naesby Naesby DAN3
18.10.2025 Naesby Naesby 1-5 HT 0-2 Bronshoj BK Bronshoj BK DAN3
14.09.2025 Bronshoj BK Bronshoj BK 3-2 HT 1-1 Naesby Naesby DAN3
17.05.2025 Naesby Naesby 2-1 HT 2-0 Bronshoj BK Bronshoj BK DAN3
26.04.2025 Bronshoj BK Bronshoj BK 2-4 Naesby Naesby DAN3
26.10.2024 Naesby Naesby 1-1 Bronshoj BK Bronshoj BK DAN3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Naesby
4-1
AWAY Bronshoj BK
56% Ball Possession 44%
24 Total Shots 5
14 Shots on Target 2
12 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Naesby vs Bronshoj BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naesby ran out comfortable winners over Bronshoj BK 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Naesby as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Naesby had 56% of the ball to Bronshoj BK's 44%, shots finished 24-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Naesby and 2.17 for Bronshoj BK.

What was the final score of Naesby vs Bronshoj BK?

Naesby 4-1 Bronshoj BK in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naesby vs Bronshoj BK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Naesby win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Naesby 53%, draw 18%, Bronshoj BK 29%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Naesby), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Naesby) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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